New Delhi: The carnage in Assam is a message from across the border - that's the thought in at least some quarters in Delhi.
Analysts say the Assam massacres are a warning to India to not interfere in the increasingly violent political crisis in Bangladesh.
Says JNU professor, Mahendra Lama, "This is a message that India should bother about its own domestic problems rather than about Bangladesh."
Sources say that provoking India and creating tension along the border could also help the Bangladesh government in diverting attention away from the domestic political storm. And ULFA would be the perfect medium.
The banned group has been located in Bangladesh since the last 10 years and New Delhi says it has proof that ULFA's top leadership and cadre have received shelter and patronage from successive Bangladeshi governments, not to mention the training and funding from ISI.
Says Bhibhu Routray of the Institute for Conflict Management, "ISI is known to be the force behind ULFA. It plans its attacks, funds its activities and trains its cadre."
India's influence in its neighbourhood is not exactly paying dividends. Dhaka ignores Indian intelligence, which also repeatedly warns of an ISI network active in Nepal.
And it took 10 years of convincing before Bhutan flushed out ULFA from its soil in military operations in 2003.
With New Delhi convinced that Bangladesh is part of the problem as far as ULFA is concerned, just how far is it willing to exercise whatever leverages it has available to it?
That's the question India will be asking itself in the days ahead.
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