STATE OF THE NATION SURVEY
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Better tomorrow for UPA Govt
Published on Sat, Aug 12, 2006 at 21:33, Updated on Sun, Aug 13, 2006 at 15:10 in Nation » India section
Tags: State Of The Nation, Poll , New Delhi
New Delhi: For a government besieged with mid-life crises and controversies – the Volcker report, the OBC reservation controversy, farmer suicides and inflation – here is some piece of good news.
If Lok Sabha elections were held in the first week of August, the UPA would manage a comfortable majority on its own. The UPA’s tally could cross 300 seats, from the meager 222 seats that it won in the 2004 Lok Sabha elections. These UPA’s gains come mainly at the expense of the BJP-led NDA coalition. The NDA’s seats would go from 189 to 120 if elections were held in August 2006 .
The UPA’s gains are almost entirely due to the Congress. Projected to get 240 seats, the Congress is still some way from getting a clear majority of its own. But the Congress party has never secured these many seats in any Lok Sabha election since 1984.
The BJP–currently in a state of disarray –may have hit its lowest in the last 17 years. The Left is likely to retain its current tally of about 60 seats, though it may not remain a pivotal player that it is today if the UPA secures a majority on its own.
These findings are based on The Hindu-CNN-IBN State of the Nation Survey carried out by the Centre for the Study of Developing Societies (CSDS). A total of 14,680 respondents spread across 883 villages and urban localities in 19 states (including Delhi) were interviewed at their residence from August 1 to 6 for the survey.
The survey also gives insights into the reasons for the UPA’s rise. The people are on balance satisfied with the Central government and think it is better than the NDA government. That is a definite advantage for the Government that did not begin with a popular mandate.
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