Chandigarh: There is some good news for the Congress from Haryana even as in neighbouring Punjab, the ruling Shiromani Akali Dal-Bharatiya Janata Party alliance is ahead. In both the states, Aam Aadmi Party (AAp) is emerging as a serious challenger.
The Congress, which is facing serious allegations of massive corruption, is still ahead of all other political parties in Haryana. Even though its vote share has come down by 8 per cent when compared to 2009, it still has 34 per cent vote share in the state.
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According to Lokniti-IBN Election Tracker, the Congress is likely to get 34 per cent votes in the coming Lok Sabha elections. The Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) is expected to reach the second spot with 20 per cent vote share. The main opposition Indian National Lok Dal (INLD) of Chautala family is expected to get 15 per cent votes.
AAP a major player in Haryana
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The AAP is projected to get 17 per cent votes in Haryana and is ahead of the INLD in the race. The Haryana Janhit Congress (HJC) and Bahujan Samaj Party (BSP) are likely to garner 8 and 4 per cent of votes respectively.
Interestingly, seven out of 10 respondents have not heard about the Robert Vadra land deal case. Only 34 per cent respondents have answered that they have heard about it. Among the people who have heard about it, 85 per cent feel that the Congress government in Haryana is protecting Vadra.
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The BJP voters seem more enthusiastic about an alliance with INLD than the HJC of Kuldip Bishnoi, for the Lok Sabha elections, while most Congress workers back an alliance with the BSP.
Overall 24 per cent respondents have answered that in the event of an Assembly election, they will vote for the ruling Congress, led by Chief Minister Bhupinder Singh Hooda. Only 18 per cent voters are in favour of the AAP. INLD has 15 per cent backing, while BJP has 14 per cent support.
There is not much demand for Jat reservation in central jobs. Over 49 per cent support it.
But 50 per cent respondents are dissatisfied with the Haryana government while 47 per cent are happy with it. Hooda is more popular than his government as 53 per cent respondents say they are happy with him but 61 per cent respondents are unwilling to give another chance to the Congress government in the state.
Moreover, 53 per cent respondents are unhappy with the UPA government at the Centre.
Modi leads PM race
Like most of India, Narendra Modi is leading the PM race even in Haryana with 32 per cent respondents wanting him as the PM. Rahul Gandhi has 19 per cent support. Arvind Kejriwal has 10 per cent support.
AAP impact in Haryana
After Delhi, the AAP is very popular in Haryana. It is making inroads into the Congress and INLD votes. 79 per cent respondents have heard of the AAP. Among them, 58 per cent want the AAP to contest from their seat. Among them 28 per cent want to vote for the AAP.
The ruling SAD-BJP is still ahead of the Congress in Punjab. According to Lokniti-IBN National Tracker poll, the SAD will get 34 per cent votes and the BJP has the backing of 11 per cent in the state. The Congress has got 27 per cent support and the AAP has got an impressive 14 per cent backing.
Narendra Modi is leading the PM race even in Punjab with 25 per cent in favour of him. Arvind Kejriwal has got 12 per cent support. Rahul has got just 8 per cent support for the PM post.
Surprisingly, a record number of 40 per cent respondents have answered that they have no particular choice.
(Disclaimer: There is no seat projections for Haryana and Punjab due to the small sample size)