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The numbers: How UPA can retain its majority if TMC pulls out

CNN-IBN
Sep 18, 2012 at 10:21am IST

New Delhi: The deadline given by Trinamool Congress chief and West Bengal Chief Minister Mamata Banerjee to the government to roll back the diesel price hike, the LPG hike and the FDI in retail decision ends on Tuesday. Mamata has warned of taking tough decisions, but it remains to be seen if she will take the extreme step of withdrawing support from the UPA.

The UPA's strength is currently 273 in the Lok Sabha, that's just two seats above the half-way mark. If the Trinamool Congress withdraws its 19 MPs, that number will plummet to 254 putting the government in jeopardy. But the support of the BSP and RJD could save the government. The support of the Samajwadi Party with its 22 MPs is uncertain at this point.

The numbers in the 15th Lok Sabha:

How UPA can retain its majority if TMC pulls out

If TMC withdraws its 19 MPs, UPA's strength will fall to 254, but the support of the BSP and RJD could save the government.

Total Strength: 540

Half way mark: 271

UPA: 273 = Congress (203) + TMC (19) + DMK (18) +

NCP (9) + RLD (5) + NC (3) + Others (16)

Outside support for UPA: 50 = BSP (21) + SP (22) + RJD (4) + JDS (3)

NDA: 151 = BJP (114) + JDU (20) + SS (11) +

SAD (4) + JMM (2)

Left and Others: 66 = CPM (16) + CPI (4) + BJD (14) + AIADMK (9) + TDP (6) + Others (17)

The number game if the TMC pulls out of UPA:

Half way mark: 271

UPA'S strength in Lok Sabha: 273

UPA (273) - TMC(19) = 254

UPA(273) - TMC(19) + BSP(21) + RJD(4) = 279

The support of the SP(22) to the UPA remains uncertain

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