India | Updated Apr 29, 2008 at 10:27pm IST

Karnataka polls: Lack of amenities main issue

The political volatility of the last four years makes many feel that this election in Karnataka is somewhat exceptional as the main issue that concerns voters is the promise of a stable government.

However, contrary to popular perception the Deccan Herald-CNN-IBN-CSDS pre-poll survey reveals that one overarching issue that concerns a substantial proportion of voters in deciding whom to voter for is the lack of basic amenities and infrastructure.

This is followed by concern for the condition of farmers, and even though governmental stability is on agenda, it comes third.

The Karnataka voter has anxieties regarding issues such as corruption, unemployment and inflation, but these issues are overshadowed by the clear demand for fulfilling basic needs such as supply of drinking water, electricity and roads. Price rise is an issue, but there is not sign that it has begun to dominate voters’ imagination.

Overall 38 per cent of the respondents in the survey said that while making their political choice, lack of basic amenities and infrastructure is the issue that comes to their mind.

Stability of Government not the main issue
The most important issue in deciding whom to vote for…
Lack of basic amenities and infrastructure
38
Farmer's conditions
21
Governmental instability
11
Corruption
8
Others
10

Note: All figures in per cent. Rest ‘don’t know’.

Question wording: I am going to read out few issues, which are likely to influence the voting decisions of voters in Karnataka. In deciding who to vote for which of the following issues is likely to influence your voting decision most?

This feeling is stronger among rural voters (40 per cent) compared to their urban counterparts (33 per cent).

The survey indicates that there is a strong regional pattern in the demand for basic needs such as supply of drinking water, electricity and roads.

Kumaraswamy government most popular out of all the recent governments
In the last 8 years the best government was…
H.D Kumaraswamy’s Government
35
S. M Krishna’s Government
24
Dharam Singh’s Government
14
Yediyurappa’s Government
9

Note: All figures in per cent. Rest ‘no opinion’.

Question wording: If you compare the last four governments in Karnataka, Congress led by SM Krishna, Congress + JD (S) led by Dharam Singh, JD (S) + BJP led by Kumaraswamy and BJP + JD (S) led by Yediyurappa. In your opinion which was the best government?

This concern is strongest in the Hyderabad Karnataka (44 per cent), followed by Mumbai Karnataka and Southern Karnataka (33 per cent).

Overall a positive development record
Performance of Kumaraswamy’s Government
Education a
Condition of Roads a
Drinking Water a
Electricity Supply a
Irrigation Facilities a
Public Transport a
Hospital Facilities a
Controlling Price rise r
Curbing Corruption r
Law and Order r

Note:a denotes a positive rating, while r indicates a negative rating.

Question wording: Now I will read out few things. You tell me whether each of these has improved, worsened or has remained same during last 18 months of Kumaraswamy government?

In the Central Karnataka region 37 per cent voters said that basic amenities and infrastructure is their concern in making their political choice. Interestingly, Bangalore is way below the average as only 27 per cent think of poor infrastructure as an issue, and compared to overall mood of the state, a substantially higher proportion of voters have concerns over corruption (13 per cent) and unemployment (12 per cent).

Yediyurappa leads the popularity chart for the CM
CM Choice…
B.S Yediyurappa
27
H.D Kumaraswamy
22
S.M Krishna
16

Mallikarjuna Kharge
5

Dharam Singh
4
Siddaramia
3

Note: All figures in per cent. Rest named other leaders.

Question wording: Who would you prefer as the next Chief Minister of Karnataka?

Central Karnataka looks similar to Bangalore in so far as only 23 per cent voters have infrastructure on their mind, while a substantial 15 per cent have said that corruption is the main issue that they think about while deciding whom to voter for.

BJP voters unanimously for Yedyurappa
If BJP wins, the CM should be…
BJP Voters
B.S Yediyurappa
83
Ananth Kumar
7

Note: All figures in per cent.

Question wording: If BJP will come to power, which of the following BJP leaders you would like to see as Chief Minister?

The second most important issue that dominates the agenda of the Karnataka voter is the condition of farmers.

S.M Krishna leads among Congress voters
If Congress wins, the CM should be…
Congress Voters
S.M Krishna
44
Dharam Singh
16
Mallikarjuna Kharge
16
Siddaramaiah
7
M.P. Prakash
6

Note: All figures in per cent.

Question wording: If Congress will come to power, which of the following Congress leaders you would like to see as Chief Minister?

Karnataka is a state that has witnessed strong farmers’ movements and instances of farmers’ suicides in the last decade, and it comes as no surprise that 21 per cent of voters feel that the condition of farmers is the main issue that influence their political choice while voting.

JD (S) voters want Kumaraswamy to get rid of his father
Kumaraswamy should…
Lead JD (S) without Deve Gowda
Deve Gowda’s advice is necessary Makes no difference
JD (S) Voters
54
17 11

Note: All figures in per cent. Rest ‘no opinion’.

Question wording: Some people say that Kumaraswamy should lead the JD (S) party independent of his father, some others say that Deve Gowda's advice is necessary. What is your opinion on this?

Quite understandably this agenda is top on priority for those who work in the agricultural sector (34 per cent) and the rural voters (21 per cent). Nearly 36 per cent of the respondents come from the agricultural sector, and this is a considerably large vote bank.

Both Congress and BJP have been betting on their promise to provide a stable government in Karnataka.

But this is not an issue that concerns many, and only 11 per cent of Karnataka voters feel that governmental instability is an issue that merits attention while deciding whom to vote for.

This is clearly an issue of the elite and upwardly mobile sections of the electorate, who are educated, have a high household income and a great deal of exposure to the news media.

This is far from being an issue of the masses, and is directly correlated to the luxury of thinking beyond basic needs.

No sympathy wave for the BJP
The BJP was…
Unfairly denied a chance to govern
Not fit to run the government
This issue is now irrelevant
Don’t know
All
24
23
14
39
No media exposure
14
20
9
57
High media exposure
27
27
19
27

Note: All figures in per cent.

Question wording: While talking to people about this election, we found that people hold different feelings about BJP. Some say that BJP was unjustly denied a chance to run the government, while others say BJP does not deserve to be in govt. What is your opinion?

However, the most interesting finding about this issue is that 26 per cent JD (S) voters said that farmers’ condition is the issue that concerns them most in deciding whom to voter for. This is considerably higher when compared to the voters of the two national parties.

Split verdict on the JD (S)’s withdrawal of support from BJP
Justified
Unjustified
No opinion
All
35
35
30

Note: All figures in per cent.

Question wording: Was JD (S) justified in withdrawing support from Yediyurappa led BJP government?

The question on the main issue that influences political choice was asked as a structured question in which the respondents had choose from a fixed list of issues.

The same question was also asked as an open-ended question, which is to say that the respondents could say whatever concerned them. The responses were similar, and the main point that came up was that people want their basic needs to met, and in this election lack of basic amenities will certainly be the issue that rides the agenda of the Karnataka voter.

Decline in support for coalition governments
1999
2004
2008
Acceptance level of coalitions
21
48 25

Note: All figures in per cent.
Question wording: Some people believe that there is no harm in coalition govt. Others believe that in special circumstances there is no alternative to it. For others a coalition government is not good in any circumstances. What is your opinion in this regard?

Methodology used for Karnataka pre–poll survey

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