New Delhi: After Trinamool Congress chief Mamata Banerjee on Thursday said that she will push for a no-trust motion against the UPA government in Parliament and the DMK declaring that the party will not support the move, all eyes are now on the Bahujan Samaj Party (BSP). BSP supremo Mayawati will clarify the party's stand on FDI proposals on October 9 at a massive rally in Lucknow on the occasion of Kanshi Ram's sixth death anniversary.
Sources within the Congress have indicated to CNN-IBN that the BSP has already held back-channel talks with the government. Sources add that the government has realised that early polls do not suit the BSP and in this scenario, the party is unlikely to withdraw its outside support to the UPA.
For the moment, it now seems that not Samajwadi Party chief Mulayam Singh Yadav, but it is Mayawati who holds the key to the government's survival. Maya would not want early elections as Mulayam's party has been in power in Uttar Pradesh only for over six months and the BSP is unlikely to reap any benefits in terms of the number of seats. Sources also say that Maya would de-link the need for early elections from her stand on reforms.
On the other hand, the SP is making the government wait and watch. Mulayam would not want to go for early elections till the time he is sure that the government would fall. However, once he knows that the government would fall, he would want to go for early elections, win more seats and increase his bargaining power at the Centre.
So Mayawati, who is most likely to announce that she will continue to support the UPA at her rally, is being seen as the most important leader who can ensure UPA's survival. The DMK has also refused to withdraw support from the government even though the party is against some of the reforms. The Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) has, however, said that it would back TMC's campaign.