Methodology used for Karnataka pre-poll survey
Published on Tue, Apr 29, 2008 at 22:18, Updated on Tue, Apr 29, 2008 at 23:24 in India section
Tags: Assembly Elections 2008, Karnataka

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Findings of the survey reported here are based on the preāpoll survey conducted in Karnataka in 75 of the 224 Assembly constituencies.
The Assembly constituencies were randomly selected using the probability Proportionate to Size (PPS) method. In each of the selected Assembly constituencies, four polling booths were randomly selected using systematic random sampling method.
In each of the selected polling booth, 30 respondents were randomly selected from the updated electoral roll using the systematic random sampling technique. A total number 9000 respondent randomly selected from the electoral rolls were approached for interview of which 5124 could be successfully interviewed. The sample of 5124 is representative of the state in respect of urbanity, gender, religion and caste groups.
How representative is the sample? | ||
| Category | Population estimates in Karnataka (Census 2001) (%) | Survey Figure(%) |
| Rural | 66 | 70 |
Urban | 34 | 30 |
Men | 51 | 53 |
Women | 49 | 47 |
Hindu | 84 | 88 |
Muslim | 12 | 10 |
Christian | 2 | 2 |
| Dalits | 16 | 18 |
Adivasis | 7 | 5 |
The respondents were interviewed at their home using a structured interview schedule. The respondents were interviewed in the face-to face interview situation in the language, which they spoke at home.
To facilitate this, the interviewed schedule was translated in three languages, Kannada, Hindi and English. While majority of respondents were interviewed in the Kannad language, but there were few respondents especially in Bangalore city, who were interviewed using interview schedule in Hindi language.
There very few, who felt comfortable speaking in English and were interviewed using English version of interview schedule.
The fieldwork for the survey was carried out for one week (April 13-19). A total of 150 field investigators, mostly students from different universities, carried out the hard work of data collection. All the field investigators were given training in survey research and data collection at workshops held in different regions of the state.
A total of five workshops were held to train these field investigators. Three supervisors, Veena Devi, Javeed and Jayaprakash Mavinakulli, supervised the fieldwork for the survey. BS Padmavati of International Academy for Creative Teaching coordinated the fieldwork for the survey. Sanjay Kumar of Centre for the Study of Developing Societies (CSDS) Delhi directed the survey.
The Central team, which designed and analysed the survey involved Yogendra Yadav, Dhananjai Joshi, Praveen Rai, Himanshu Bhattacharya, KAQA Hilal, Kanchan Malhotra and Vikas Gautam from CSDS and Sandeep Shastri from International Academy for Creative Teaching.
The sampling details | |
| No. of Assembly Constituencies | 75 |
| No. of locations where survey was conducted | 300 |
| No. of voters approached for conducting interviews | 9000 |
| No. of completed interviews | 5124 |
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Pre Poll survey is not accurate in India only 30% will be true.Money makes last movement change.
ASHOK RAO
SANDUR
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Pre poll surveys are a reflection of the desires of the media as to who should win and clearly not
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i don't believe in this pre-poll survey.its the people who decides..
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This survey will be as ACCURATE(!!) as the one done before GUJRAT assembly elections when the best BJP showing was
Read Comment
May I request you to verify your election forecast in 2004? How accurate it was?
R Jayaram
Bangalore
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