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The mathematics for the Presidential election


Bhupendra Chaubey, CNN-IBN
Jun 13, 2012 at 03:55pm IST

New Delhi: The Presidential election will be held on July 19, the Election Commission announced on Tuesday, setting the ball rolling for the process to decide on who would be the next occupant of the Rashtrapati Bhavan. All eyes are now on Congress chief Sonia Gandhi who will take the final call on the ruling UPA's candidate. While Finance Minister Pranab Mukherjee has emerged as front-runner, there is no clarity on who would be the UPA's choice for the post.

As the tempo built up, the Congress let out little and only said that there were no differences amongst the allies. It is being hoped that the wait for the UPA's 'consensus' candidate ends on Wednesday when Trinamool Congress chief Mamata Banerjee meets UPA chairperson Sonia Gandhi. Mamata may also meet another crucial UPA ally, Samajwadi Party (SP) chief Mulayam Singh Yadav, on Wednesday.

Meanwhile, new names like Somnath Chaterjee and Mohsina Kidwai have emerged in the race. Given the uncertainty, the final name could well be a dark-horse. As specualtions and political machinations continue over the race to the Raisina Hill, CNN-IBN brings you a reality check on where the various political formations lie vis-a-vis the Presidential elections.

UPA

Total Votes- 4,60,191(42%)

Congress- 3,30,485

NDA

Total Votes- 304,785 (28%)

BJP- 2,23,885

NON-UPA, NON-NDA

Total Votes- 2,62,408 (24%)

Crucial Votes

SP + BSP + TMC

68,812 43,349 48,049

5,49,442: Minimum votes required for President to be elected

Total Votes (MPs + MLAs) 10,98,882

Votes Need to Elect President: 5,49,442

UPA'S VOTE SHARE: 4,49,133

CONGRESS: 330405

TMC: 45925

Magic Figure: 549442

UPA + RJD + SP + BSP 571644

4,49,133 + 10,350 + 66,688 + 45,473

Magic Figure: 549442

Without SP(66688) & TMC(45925) 4,59,031

Short by 90,411 votes

Magic Figure: 549442

NDA'S VOTE SHARE 3,04,785

Short by 2,44,657 votes

Magic Figure: 549442

None of the existing alliances have majority to elect its candidate

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