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  • UP poll tracker: BJP may get 41-49 seats, SP 11-17, BSP 8-14, Cong 5-9 March 5, 2014

    New Delhi: The BJP is expected to stage an impressive comeback in Uttar Pradesh according to CNN-IBN-Lokniti-CSDS election tracker. It is likely to garner 36 per cent votes in a multi corner contest. As per the seat projections by Dr Rajeeva Kharandikar, Director, Chennai Mathematical Institute, Chennai, the BJP will win...
  • Bihar poll tracker: BJP-LJP 22-30 seats, JDU 4-8, RJD, Cong 2-6 each March 5, 2014

    New Delhi: Like neighbouring Uttar Pradesh, the BJP is expected to do extremely well even in Bihar. According to CNN-IBN-Lokniti-CSDS election tracker, the BJP-LJP alliance is expected to sweep aside its opponents and win a large number of seats. As per seat projections by Prof Rajeeva Kharandikar, Director, Chennai...
  • The power and the limitations of Opinion Poll based projections December 13, 2013

    New Delhi: I have been a psephologist for about 16 years and have had a fair amount of success in predicting seats in an upcoming election. Here is a postmortem of what I said and what happened in the current round of elections. Since 2005, I have been working with CNNIBN...
  • BJP will break all records in 2014 Lok Sabha polls: Advani July 27, 2013

    New Delhi: Senior Bharatiya Janata Party leader LK Advani on Saturday said that the political atmosphere in the country is ideal for the party to get "record breaking results" with the Congressled government failing to tackle corruption and price rise, creating a favourable condition for the main Opposition. "Prepoll surveys...
  • Gujarat poll vote projection: Modi lords over the state October 31, 2012

    New Delhi: For more than a decade, politics in Gujarat has been synonymous with Narendra Modi. With the Assembly elections due in a few weeks, the scenario seems to no different. The Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) strongman, who has ruled Gujarat with an iron hand since October 2001, has swatted...
  • Himachal Pradesh vote projection: Congress, BJP neck and neck October 30, 2012

    New Delhi: Himachal Pradesh has traditionally seen a straight contest between the Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) and the Congress and the 2012 Assembly election are going to be no different with the two involved in a bitter battle. The state will vote in a single phase on November 4, and...
  • Blame me, not Rahul if we lose UP: Digvijaya March 4, 2012

    New Delhi: UPA General Secretary Rahul Gandhi may have attracted the crowds in Uttar Pradesh but not the votes with the Congress voteshare set to dip. Congress General secretary Digvijaya Singh put up a brave front and said that he and not Rahul will be responsible if the party does...
  • Clear majority forecast for SP in Uttar Pradesh March 3, 2012

    New Delhi: It's a Samajwadi Party (SP) wave in Uttar Pradesh. In what is most likely to be one of the biggest electoral victories in UP in the last 20 years, Mulayam Singh Yadav's SP is bound to surprise by garnering an impressive 34 per cent of the votes in...
  • Close race between SAD, Cong in Punjab March 3, 2012

    New Delhi: Punjab is locked in a close contest between the SADBJP alliance and the Congress, with the former ahead by a narrow margin, according to the latest postpoll survey by the Centre for the Study of Developing Societies (CSDS) in association with The Week and CNNIBN. According to the...
  • Tight finish in Punjab; U'khand, Manipur to Cong March 3, 2012

    New Delhi: Punjab is locked in a close contest between the Shiromani Akali DalBharatiya Janata Party (SADBJP) alliance and the Congress, with the former ahead by a narrow margin, according to the latest postpoll survey by the Centre for the Study of Developing Societies (CSDS) in association with The Week...
  • Battle for the States: post poll survey May 11, 2011

    CNNIBN, CSDS The Week bring you the seat projections for the Assembly elections in West Bengal, Tamil Nadu, Kerala and Assam. ...
  • CNNIBN projection: DMK keeps TN, Mayawati UP May 16, 2009

    New Delhi: The United Progressive Alliance (UPA) is gaining in the Lok Sabha elections because of the DMKs good performance in Tamil Nadu. UPA leader Congress may improve its performance in Uttar Pradesh but in that state the Bahujan Samaj Party (BSP) would emerge as the leading party, predicts a...
  • Likely verdicts in key states May 15, 2009

    The Congress is ahead in the Lok Sabha elections in Kerala, Assam, Rajasthan and Andhra Pradesh. The BJP is leading in Jharkhand, Karnataka, Madhya Pradesh and Gujarat, projects a CNNIBN analysis of the general elections. The exhaustive analysis, which is based on surveys conducted by the CSDS, will be carried...
  • Cong, BJP neck and neck in key states May 15, 2009

    The Congress is ahead in the Lok Sabha elections in Kerala, Assam, Rajasthan and Andhra Pradesh. The BJP is leading in Jharkhand, Karnataka, Madhya Pradesh and Gujarat, projects a CNNIBN analysis of the general elections. The exhaustive analysis, which is based on surveys conducted by the CSDS, will be carried...
  • Sonia, Advani locked in a close fight for PM's post March 5, 2009

    New Delhi: Even before the 2009 General Election campaign has taken off, Rahul Gandhi and Narendra Modi have squared off publicly. But a CNNIBN CSDS poll suggests that it is not Rahul versus Modi, but Sonia Gandhi versus L K Advani that remains the real leadership battle of the coming...
  • Seats down but BJP may scrape through in Guj December 17, 2007

    New Delhi: If the science of opinion polling is anything to go by, Narendra Modi is likely to create an electoral history of sorts by returning to power in Gujarat. The findings of the Indian ExpressCNNIBNDivya Bhaskar Gujarat poll suggest that despite losing some popular support, the BJP in Gujarat...
  • How parties caste their votes in UP June 19, 2007

    New Delhi: The electoral battle for Uttar Pradesh this time was all about the Plus Vote. As any astute dhaba psephologist will tell you, each of the major players had its base vote (this is by now a Hindi expression), crucial for staying in the electoral race. But each party...
  • Mayawati set to get 160 seats in UP June 19, 2007

    New Delhi: Bahujan Samajwadi Party (BSP) leader Mayawati has reasons to smile as the longdrawn polling in Uttar Pradesh finally comes to an end. Widely seen as the frontrunner right from the beginning, she managed to finish the race on a high note in the eastern part of the state. The...
  • What makes Indians keep the faith June 18, 2007

    New Delhi: The common belief is: Indians used to be a religious people but religiosity is fast declining in modern times. Religion is fading out in cities and among the educated. Women and elderly are the few groups who are still religious. The fact is otherwise: Faith in religion, far from...
  • The Number Game: Best of the best June 18, 2007

    New Delhi: The State of the Nation Survey had over 15,000 respondents in 19 states and 970 localities. The survey was conducted between January 9 and January 14, close to 500 interviewers. Seventytwo per cent of India's population is in rural areas, our survey had 76 per cent representation from rural...
  • Methodology: How the Survey was done June 18, 2007

    Findings of the survey reported here are based interviews of 15, 373 randomly selected respondents at 970 villages and urban locations spread across 19 states. The respondents were selected in three stages. First a sample of Assembly constituencies was randomly drawn using the Probability Proportionate Sampling (PPS) method. The sample...
  • Uttarakhand: State of the Nation June 18, 2007

    New Delhi: One month before elections, when the race has just begun, it seems the ruling Congress has an edge over the BJP in Uttarakhand. Findings of the HTCNNIBNCSDS survey indicates that if the Assembly elections were held in the second week of this month, the Congress was likely to...
  • Survey: UPA's popularity stagnating June 27, 2007

    New Delhi: The midterm reality check brings good news and a question for the ruling United Progressive Alliance (UPA). The good news is that nearly three years into its term, the UPA still enjoys popular approval. It is placed better than it was in 2004. The question, though, is: has the...
  • UP: BSP, SP walking a tightrope June 18, 2007

    New Delhi: The electoral race in Uttar Pradesh seems to be getting more interesting and closer. As of now it appears a two horse race between the Bahujan Samaj Party (BSP) and the Samajwadi Party (SP), pushing the BJP and the Congress far behind. The recent HTCNNIBNCSDS poll places both...
  • Not all Indians opposed to Army rule December 25, 2006

    New Delhi: Most Pakistanis favour Army rule, but that is least preferred in India. But then not all Indians are opposed to Army rule, showing a lack of depth to the concept of democracy. This is the finding of a Study of Democracy in South Asia, published by New Delhibased Centre...